Associate Professor Chung Tran


Research School of Economics

Associate Professor
Phone number
+61 2 612 55638
Room 2086, LF Crisp Bld (26)
Research areas

Macroeconomics; Fiscal Policy; Taxation; Public Finance; Development Economics.



Personal website

Chung Tran is an Associate Professor of Economics, a current member of the Australian Treasury’s expert panel on economic modelling, and an Associate Investigator for the Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research.  Chung’s research explores the conditions under which fiscal interventions including social security, health insurance, progressive taxes, fiscal stimulus and austerity, sovereign debt and fiscal devaluation improve efficiency and welfare. His work has advanced our understanding of social pensions in developing economies, healthcare financing in advanced economies like the US and the optimal design of a tax and transfer system in small, open economies like Australia. Chung’s research has been funded by the Australian Research Council, the US Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, the US Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services and the Bank of Japan.

His work has also been published in top-ranked economics journals including Review of Economic DynamicsJournal of Economic Dynamics and ControlEuropean Economic Review and Journal of Development Economics.

Research publications

Selected Publications

Tran, C & Zakariyya, N 2021, 'Tax Progressivity in Australia: Facts, Measurements and Estimates', Economic Record, Vol. 97(316), pp. 45-77

Kudrna, G, Tran, C & Woodland, A 2019, 'Facing Demographic Challenges: Pension Cuts or Tax Hikes', Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol. 23(2), pp. 625-673.

Kudrna, G & Tran, C 2018, 'Comparing Budget Repair Measures for a Small Open Economy with Growing Debt', Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 55, pp. 162-183. 

Glomm, G, Jung, J & Tran, C 2018, 'Fiscal Austerity Measures: Spending Cuts vs. Tax Increases', Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol. 22(2), pp. 501-540.

Tran, C 2018, 'Temptation and Taxation with Elastic Labor', Economic Modelling, Vol. 70(C), pp. 351-369.

Jung, J, Tran, C & Chambers, M 2017, 'Aging and Health Financing in the U.S.: A General Equilibrium Analysis', European Economic Review, Vol. 100, pp. 428-462. 

Jung, J & Tran, C 2016, 'Market Inefficiency, Insurance Mandate and Welfare: US Health Care Reform 2010', Review of Economic Dynamics, Vol. 20, pp. 132-159.

Tran, C 2016, 'Fiscal Policy as a Temptation Control Device: Savings Subsidy and Social Security', Economic Modelling, Vol. 55, pp. 254-268.

Kudrna, G, Tran, C & Woodland, A 2015, 'The Dynamic Fiscal Effects of Demographic Shift: The Case of Australia', Economic Modelling, Vol. 50, pp. 105-122.

Jung, J & Tran, C 2014, 'Medical Consumption over the Life-cycle: Facts from a U.S. Medical Expenditure Panel Survey', Empirical Economics, Vol. 47(3), pp. 927-957.

Tran, C & Woodland, A 2014, 'Trade-offs in Means Tested Pension Design', Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 47, pp. 72-93.

Jung, J. & Tran, C., 2012, 'The Extension of Social Security Coverage in Developing Countries', Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 99(2), pp. 439-458.

Kumru, C & Tran, C 2012, 'Temptation and Social Security in a Dynastic Framework', European Economic Review, Vol. 56(7), pp. 1422-1445.

Glomm, G, Jung, J, Lee & Tran, C 2010, 'Public Sector Pension Policies and Capital Accumulation in an Emerging Economy: The Case of Brazil', The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 10(1), pp. 1-38.

Glomm, G, Jung, J & Tran, C 2009, 'Macroeconomic Implications of Early Retirement in the Public Sector: The Case of Brazil', Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 33, pp. 777-797.

Research grants and awards

1. ARC, Discovery Project, 2021-2024 (AUD 219,000)

2. ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research (CEPAR), 2012-2024 (AUD 70,000+)

3. Bank of Japan, Visiting Scholar Fellowship, 2015 (JPY 2,500,000)

4. ARC Early Career Fellowship, 2012-2014 (AUD 170,000)

5. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, U.S.A., Research Grant, 2012-2013 (USD 134,000)

6. Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, U.S.A., Research Grant (R03), 2010-2011 (USD 66,787)

Research engagement and outreach

1. Member, Expert Panel on Macroeconomic Forecasting and Modelling, Australian Treasury

2. External Advisor, Australian Treasury; Consultant, Deloitte Access Economics

3. Associate Investigator, ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research (CEPAR)

4. Fellow, Tax Transfers Policy Institute (TTPI), ANU Crawford School of Public Policy

5. Research Associate, Center for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA)

6. Visiting Professor: Keio University, Towson University and Bank of Japan


ANU courses

1. ECON2102-Macroeconomics 2

2. ECON8022-Macroeconomic Theory     

3. ECON8001-Topics in Macroeconomics


Primary Supervisor 

1. PhD students

  • Fajar Oktiyanto (PhD, 2021- ); Darapheak Tin (PhD, 2019- );
  • Nabeeh Zakariyya (PhD, 2021); Sebastian Wende (PhD, 2020); Michinao Okachi (PhD, 2018); Christopher Perks (PhD, 2017)

2. Honours Students:

  • Duong Dang (2018), James Stevens (2017), Zelin Chen ( 2015), Christine Ma (2014), Trina Chuang (2012)

3. Master and Case Study Students:

  • Dana Lawson (2017), Alex Beamer (2017), Napoleon Dewan (2015), Anpeng Li (2014), Yahdullah Haidari (2014) and Trina Chuang (2013) 


Secondary Supervisor

  • Sam Ng (2018- );
  • Minh-Ngoc Nguyen (2021); Owen Freestone (2019); Qingyin Ma (2018); Arm Nakonthab (2018); Jamie Cross (2017); Aubrey Poon (2017); Tomohito Okabe (2015); Patrick Carvalho (2014)